[02] Off Spt. 'Role Star Power' (til June Joust)

Before You Read: 'Role Star Power' is unofficial. It is just a time killer regarding OWL.

For anyone curious about 'Role Star Power' read below

https://overwatch-league-stats.tistory.com/6

https://overwatch-league-stats.tistory.com/7

I would be grateful for any feedback.

 

I'll handle 'silent killers', Off Support this time.

Past Role Stars: Twilight(2019), Kariv(2019), Alarm(2020), Violet(2020)

 

& Zen who is hard to be seen on current patch

 

Used Variables

Basic Model - Final Blows, Eliminations, Hero Damage, Solo Kills, Deaths, Winners, Healing

Adj Model - All above & First Blood Rate (FBR) & First Blooded Rate (FBdR)

 

Past Stars Recap

The aspect is quite different from Main Spt case. There is a big outlier called 'Kariv'! Other stars (Twilight, Alarm & Violet) are really like model students good at everything. However, Kariv was at LA Valiant in 2019 when the team was shaky with GOAT meta and therefore had so-so stats in overall. Even his Damage and Healing stat was far under the average. But let's remind the year 2019 again. Valiant was the team that won against GOAT master Titans for the first time in the regular season. At the center of the match was Kariv who showed unbelievable Sleep Darts and Grenades. No one who watched the match would deny our definite MVP. Fortunately, his impact was revealed at some stats. His 'Solo Kills, FBR & FBdR' was superb enough to describe his strength in the 13th team.

The man who collapsed the Titans Regime

With the outlier, in rough average of Past Stars:: FBdR - 2nd, Solo Kills - 2.25th, Final Blows - 4th, Elim. - 4.75th, FBR - 5.5th, Two won the tournament, etc. With the Kariv Effect, FBdR and Solo Kills look highly important among variables.

 

 

Results (Twilight not included due to less play-time)

Basic Model (Top 10)

Okay, it is All-Star line up... wait what?

Adjusted Model (Top 10)

What the heck is happening here?

Analysis

There are big differences between the two.

Well, the Kariv Effect really stands out here.

 

Izayaki & Fielder - The best support players in the league. They have accomplished tournament summit two years in a row. Unlike last year when they played Ana mostly, they have shown decent Moria plays in Neo Goats. What is different from Main Spt Model is that the two is not perfectly dominating the chart. Let's look at the past Role Stars data. In Main Spt data, three out of four stars (75%) are tournament winners, whereas it is two out of four (50%) in the case of Off Spt. So the winner's premium is not that big for Off Spt players. Dark horses consequently could be ranked high enough with other noticeable stats.

 

Shu - Shu have shown impressing plays since he was in Charge. He won the Summer Showdown Cup 2020 {D'you remember when his Bap. literally killed anyone in Busan during the final?}. As everyone anticipated, he is doing great in LAG. With Skewed and Moth, the team won all the regular matches in June {Pretend we've never seen Joust qualifiers tho}.

 

Alarm - Winning both 'Rookie of the Year' and 'Role Star' last year, Alarm landed the league successfully. The journey continues and he is doing okay considering their wiggly June Joust. We really had a chance to notice his impact like when he assisted Carpe impeccably against the flying Hunters.

 

Crimzo - In terms of regular season, he seems to be the best Non-Korean Off Spt player right now. Showing great effort in spite of the collapsing 2020 Fuel, he developed even more in Houston. Crimzo is still doing well in Showdown qualifiers, can the team finally advance to Hawaii this time?

 

Myunbong & Iris - An icon of 'sad face' for Boston last year, Myunbong can finally smile along with June Joust. His 'WGS assemble' teammates are really supporting him to shine bright these days {Didn't know that Myun's Biotic Grenade can make kills}. Showing up in the last moment of 2020 season, it seems like Iris (was Lris) has adapted to the league stably. His Bap. is really nuts. Must be an essential resource who led the team to travel to Hawaii.

 

Wya - Kariv-esque player one. Basically, I only handle those get to be included in both models. But Wya is in the darkest team which made me surprised that he made it to the Top 10 in Basic Model. The reason is quite simple; Wya is the 1st for Solo Kills. Well, he did seriously record many solo kills with Zen. Maybe an environment he is in possibly enables him to make solo kills easily compared to other Off Spt. {which is hopeless}. He is even sharing Valiant Vein with 2019 Kariv.

 

Creative - Kariv-esque player two. Let's deeply analyze the man with 'creative' rating. No other player has huge point difference between two models than Creative. His point in Adj is almost multiplied by 2.5 times. Creative is really similar to 2019 Kariv. His overall stat is on average and his Damage and Healing stats are at the bottom. But his FBR and FBdR are unmatchable. This adjustment made his value soar in the Adj model.

Can he show more 'creative' plays later?

Objectively, Creative is doing great but still lacks the impact when compared to Valiant Kariv. I assume Kariv might not have won the Role Star if it had not been for his crazy Ana plays. To become a Role Star, Creatvie would have to show insane things in the rest of the season like Sleep Dart on Void's Sigma in Grand (semi) Finals. Well, it would be nice if he just wins upcoming tournament.